2024 Battleground State Polls

Pollbusters Polling Averages

Indexing Democrat Partisan Skews in 2024 Presidential Battleground Polls


Head-to-Head Polling No Toss-Up Electoral College (With Skew)



Multi-Candidate Polling No Toss-Up Electoral College (With Skew)

Battleground States

See the averages of the last 5 polls and the built-in Democrat partisan sampling skews.


What is Skew/Unskew?

How to read:

  • Party Sample: Net R+ or D+ of a poll's sample
  • Partisan Skew: difference between Party Sample and the 2020 exit poll party ID
  • Simple Unskew: what would happen if 100% of Rs and Ds voted for their nominee and you unskewed the result.
  • Unskew Chart Line: where Trump would be without the Dem skew
  • Skew-Proof Chart Line: if Harris is below the Skew-Proof, she lags Trump without skew

This is not a true reweighted sample, it's just simple math. 100% of self-identified Rs and Ds won't vote for their nominee, but the skew metric and indicator lines on the charts visualize Dem bias in the polls.

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